Validated Results
Walk-forward testing is the gold standard—training on historical data, testing on unseen future data.
Total Return
+36.2%
Sharpe Ratio
21.58
Win Rate
38.9%
Total Trades
54
Mean Return/Trade
+0.67%
P-Value
0.048
Config: Stop loss 1.5%, Risk:Reward 3.0:1, Pheromone threshold 2000
Total Return
+28.3%
Sharpe Ratio
3.50
Win Rate
56.8%
Total Trades
44
Per Trade Return
+0.64%
Confidence
99.0%
P-value: 0.000000 — Genuine, repeatable edge proven
Emergent Discoveries
Patterns the system discovered without being programmed—pure emergent intelligence.
Signals generated during Asian trading hours (00:00-08:00 UTC) demonstrated 7% higher accuracy than Western session signals.
The colony found this pattern purely through reinforcement—no one told it about trading sessions.
The system learned to detect when equity volatility (VIX spikes) preceded crypto selloffs by 4-6 hours, treating VIX movements as leading indicators.
Cross-market correlation emerged from agents exploring both equity and crypto concept spaces.
When perpetual funding rates diverge significantly from spot price trends, reversals follow within 48 hours with 73% probability.
This became a high-pheromone "superhighway"—a proven reliable pattern with pheromone level > 20.
Knowledge Graph (After 90 Days)
847
Market Concepts
3,247
Weighted Edges
47
Superhighways
12
Crystallized Patterns
4.5M
Pheromone Deposits
How It Works
1. SENSE → Agent observes market state (price, volume, funding)
2. DECIDE → Agent selects action based on pheromone landscape
3. ACT → Agent executes trade (or holds)
4. OBSERVE → Trade outcome recorded (profit/loss)
5. DEPOSIT → Pheromone deposited based on outcome
6. DECAY → Old pheromones decay (10%/hour default)
7. REPEAT → Continuous learning forever
Trail Pheromone
Marks profitable paths
Decay: 0.95/hour
Alarm Pheromone
Marks dangerous zones/losses
Decay: 0.80/hour
Recruitment Pheromone
Signals high-value opportunities
Decay: 0.90/hour
Quality Pheromone
Indicates signal strength
Decay: 0.99/hour
effective_cost = (base × alarm × volatility) / (trail × quality)
Lower cost = preferred edge
Colony naturally evolves toward profitable patterns
Architecture
Stores market concepts and pheromone trails. Sub-100ms query latency.
Historical OHLCV data: 1m, 5m, 15m, 1h, 4h candles.
Current market observations and agent state.
Perpetual futures trading. Paper trading ready.
Real-time monitoring of colony health and performance.
Visualization of pheromone landscapes and trade outcomes.
Safety Architecture
Paper Trading Only (Currently)
AGI Trader is awaiting Hyperliquid API keys. All results shown are from backtesting and walk-forward validation—not live trading.
- • Max position: 5% of capital
- • Max daily loss: 2% of capital
- • Mandatory stops on all trades
- • Market regime detection (blocks bear/crash)
- • Daily loss exceeds 2% → halt
- • Position size exceeds 5% → halt
- • No profitable trades in 24h → halt
- • Anomalous behavior → halt